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Friday, November 04, 2005

Iraq and so on

Last night, when I was watching the news on TV, I've got an interesting idea. A reporter from Bangladesh, who was attending the World Water Forum, was interviewed on the Iraqi issue, and said that the Husein Regime should be ousted by the Iraqi people, not by the outsiders. I agree with him. Unless the people get ready enough to govern themselves democratically, they will have another Husein after the war, as we had another emperor, Douglas MacArthur, after World War II, as North Korean people have their second Kim Il Sung, as Chinese people have their fourth generation of Mao Zedong's, and so forth. By the way, although it seems all the eyes in the world are stuck on Iraq, I myself am rather interested in East Asian affairs. It looks, in China, the 'abdication' from the third generation to the fourth has been smoothly done. The difference between the preceding generations and the fourth is that the formers are 'revolutionary' generations, while the latter is not. The leaders who lack the experience of the revolution, or the civil war between the Communist Party and the National Party, might loosen their grip, which leads China to rather open and democratic society. What we must keep in our mind is the shadows of the Great Cultural Revolution and the Tian'an-men Massacre. Do they brake the change or hasten? Anyway, multiparty system will be unevitable, history teaches us, even in China. The system will certainly give birth to parties like the Tibetan *** Party, the East Turkistan *** Party, and such. The bigger problem is if we will see such as the Kantonese (or Yue) *** Party, the Fujian (or Min) *** Party, the Shanghai (or Wu) *** Party, in addition to the Democratic Prgressive Party of Taiwan(if we count Taiwan among provinces in China as the Beijing Administration hopes), the Hongkong Democratic Party etc. Those provincial parties might split China into 5 or more pieces.... either with or without civil wars.

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